Commissioner for Health in Lagos State, Akin Abayomi has said coronavirus cases in the state may rise to 39,000.
Abayomi at a briefing on Friday urged people to adhere to the social distancing advice of the state government to check the spread of the disease.
He said, “Our mathematical modelling shows that the worst-case scenario is that we may see up to 39,000 cases in Lagos, but if everyone practices good social distancing, the figure will be limited to 13,000.
“If we add social distancing to active contact tracing, then we will be able to bend the curve further. The figures may seem alarming at this point, but this is just to emphasize to the Lagos community to follow instructions of the incident commander to make sure that we practice social distancing.
“Looking at the same time-frame from the introduction of the index case, you can see that Lagos State is not seen anywhere near what Spain, Italy, and Iran are showing.
So, at weeks two and three of our index case, we are flat; and at week four, we have 37 cases; while at the same fourth week, Italy, Iran, and Spain had more than 20,000 cases.”
“So, we are doing something right in the state. Then if we continue to do that, we will remain on the lower trajectory.
“It shows we are keeping the curve flat which is allowing us to keep up with the number of cases we have so far.”
Nigeria so far has 70 confirmed Coronavirus cases with Lagos having 44 confirmed infections.
Yawnaija.tv
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